Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN): The Best Stock to Miss Earnings

Today (Thursday) after closing bell, Amazon.com (Nasdaq: AMZN) revealed Q4 earnings that missed analysts' aggressive estimates that growth would increase 238% from a year prior.

Instead, AMZN earnings per share came in at $0.51 on sales of $25.59 billion, $0.15 below the consensus $0.66 per share on sales of $26.06 billion.

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Price: 403.01 | Ch: 18.81(4.7%)

There are a few reasons why Amazon's miss today should actually signal a buy for investors.

First, Amazon has missed nine of the last sixteen quarters; in Q3, revenue fell year over year, breaking a three-quarter streak of rising revenue.

Yet, AMZN investors have seen the stock go up more than 40% over the last year.

Second, today's earnings actually still represent a 148% increase in EPS from a year ago - $0.21 per diluted share in Q4 2012 versus $0.51 per diluted share in today's Q4 2013.

Third, for the full year of 2013, net sales increased 22% to $74.45 billion, compared with $61.09 billion in 2012. Amazon reports that the number actually would've been a 24% increase, if not for the negative impact from year-over-year changes in foreign exchange rates.

In Q4 alone, net sales increased 20% to $25.59 billion in the fourth quarter, compared with $21.27 billion in fourth quarter 2012.

Note: The Fed's 2014 taper means volatility lies ahead. But there's still a way to find profits in a volatile market - just start with this strategy...

Fourth, Amazon announced a record-setting holiday season for Amazon Prime (it didn't provide numbers). In December, Prime became so popular that Amazon was forced to limit new Prime membership signups during peak periods for the first time ever.

AMZN stock is paying the price for missing earnings - it's plunged over 8.5% in after-hours trading, from a close of $403.01 to $369 as of 4:55 pm EST.

But the Amazon stock drop creates a unique opportunity for investors to get in on this company at a discount.

Here's why Amazon is still one of the best investments of 2014...

Why Amazon Earnings Miss Doesn't Matter

The key to Amazon's success is innovation.

"These guys leave no stones unturned for the next dollar they can bring in," said Money Morning Defense & Tech Specialist Michael A. Robinson. "Amazon is constantly upselling, cross-selling, and looking for new products, and they're great at it."

Amazon is one of the world's largest online retailers, but it also creates original media content in its publishing division, offers cloud services, and sells products like the popular Kindle.

Popular is an understatement: On Dec. 26, Amazon announced it sold 426 items per second on 2013's Cyber Monday, including more Kindles than ever before in the company's history. That comes out to more than 36.8 million items ordered in 24 hours.

Also in late December, Amazon won a patent for a shipping method that could drastically decrease shipping times...

"They already do anticipatory shopping - customers see that every time they open the web page. Now they want to expand that to anticipatory shipping," said Robinson.

With the patent, AMZN will strengthen its spot as the No. 1 online retailer by boasting some of the fastest delivery times for online purchases.

Another major reason for AMZN's success... Amazon Prime.

Amazon Prime is a membership service that offers free two-day shipping, unlimited movie streaming, and one free borrowed e-book per month for a total of $79 per year. In just one week in December, Amazon Prime gained more than 1 million new subscribers. Now we know, post-earnings, that Prime is alive and well - and setting records all on its own.

Additionally in December we learned that AMZN will launch Pantry, a membership warehouse that allows members to buy consumer package goods. Pantry opens the gateway for Amazon to compete with Costco Wholesale Corp. (Nasdaq: COST), Sam's Club, and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT).

Robinson believes developing Pantry fits right in Amazon's wheelhouse and credits a lot of the company's success to Amazon Chief Executive Officer Jeff Bezos.

Bezos is "brilliant at logistics," said Robinson. "[He] is going to go down in history as one of the great tech innovators of all time."

Amazon stock went up a whopping 62% in 2013 - and will keep going.

"Once this franchise is built out, there are billions of dollars in cash flow that will fall to the bottom line," Robinson said.

Profit Alert: These "Triple Threat" Firms Will Deliver Your Best Returns in 2014

Source: http://moneymorning.com/2014/01/30/amazon-com-nasdaq-amzn-earnings-238-increase-expected/

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Quentin Tarantino v. Gawker — can't they both lose?

Posted by William A. Jacobson Tuesday, January 28, 2014 at 10:59am

Yikes, if linking to others creates liability.

Filmmaker Quentin Tarantino is suing Gawker Media and related entities based on Gawker allegedly assisting in the distribution of a stolen film script:

Director Quentin Tarantino has filed a lawsuit against Gawker Media for copyright infringement. A week after declaring he would no longer make his next film The Hateful Eight because someone in his small circle had leaked the screenplay, director Quentin Tarantino has taken legal action against Gawker Media alleging copyright infringement for disseminating the script

Tarantinos lawsuit, filed in U.S. District Court in Los Angeles on Monday, alleges that the web site Gawker disseminated unauthorized downloadable copies of the leaked unreleased complete screenplay and expressly refused to remove their directions to and URL links to get the infringing materials. The director is demanding actual and statutory damages as well as Gawkers profits in the amount of at least $1 million.

Gawker Media has made a business of predatory journalism, violating peoples rights to make a buck, the complaint states. This time, they went too far. Rather than merely publishing a news story reporting that Plaintiffs screenplay may have been circulating in Hollywood without his permission, Gawker Media crossed the journalistic line by promoting itself to the public as the first source to read the entire screenplay illegally.

Not being a fan either of Tarantinos films, or of Gawker, I consider myself neutral.

I read the Complaint. All Gawker did was promote the fact that it had links to others on the internet who had the script. That seems like a tough claim of copyright liability, but hey, presumably the plaintiffs lawyers did the reasearch and think they have a legal claim. But still, just linking to others creates a copyright liability? Yikes, if thats true.

Gawker is promising a fight:

Gawker had nothing to do with the appearance of The Hateful Eight script on the internet.

Tarantinos complaint includes the following claim: Gawker Media itself for its own benefit, itself transmitted or encouraged an infringing unauthorized full copy of the Screenplay to be posted for download on the obscure file share website AnonFiles.com. This claim is false. No one at Gawker saw or had access to Tarantinos script before AnonFiles posted it. No one at Gawker transmitted itor anything else, at allto AnonFiles. No one at Gawker encouraged anyone to do so. No one at Gawker has any earthly idea how AnonFiles obtained a copy.

Gawker is not being sued for copyright infringement.

We are being sued for contributory copyright infringement for linking to a site that is being sued for direct copyright infringement. We are not being sued for publishing copyrighted information.

Contributory infringement is a legal theory that has traditionally been deployed against file-sharing sites and search enginesvenues that explicitly exist as directories to copyrighted content. Gawker and Defamer are news sites, and our publication of the link was clearly connected to our goal of informing readers about things they care about. As far as I can tell (but Im no lawyer!), no claim of contributory infringement has prevailed in the U.S. over a news story. Well be fighting this one.

It pains me to think Gawker might be right here. First they came for Gawker, .

(Featured image from Pulp Fiction, a movie of no redeeming value and the only Quentin Tarantino film Ive ever seen.)

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Source: http://legalinsurrection.com/2014/01/quentin-tarantino-v-gawker-cant-they-both-lose/

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